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Mitigating risks and capturing opportunities at the nexus of energy, politics and the energy transition

Secure new investment opportunities and mitigate traditional and emerging aboveground risks – specifically the energy transition – with our integrated package of news, analysis, research, data and access to experts. The Risk Service helps strategy and risk analysts, business development teams and in-country managers develop resilient and actionable risk assessments to support their decision-making and diversify their portfolio.

Our proprietary aboveground risk and reward ranking tool, the Country Risk Index, covers more than 60 countries ranked across 34 individual factors, providing the robust analytical framework underpinning our country, geopolitical and transition risk analysis.

Our 70+ years of geopolitical analysis, combined with our ongoing reporting of key risks driving energy markets and our analytical risk ranking model make us uniquely positioned to identify critical investment, geopolitical and energy transition risks facing the energy industry.

Benefits

  • Bridge the gap between geopolitical risk and impacts on markets, assets and cash flows with our daily news updates, analytical reports and proprietary Country Risk Index, covering country, geopolitical and energy transition risks
  • Identify and address blind spots in your political risk scenario planning by informing your in-house assumptions with our analysis of key producer countries
  • Build resilient country risk strategies by isolating political risks that can actually threaten assets and cash flows, with our Country Risk Index
  • Predict what move to make next with our actionable risk analysis and insights, which are derived from our exclusive access to primary political sources and policy decision-makers
  • Identify investment risks and opportunities in the energy transition with our Transition Risk Index, which analyzes the drivers behind host-government incentives and emerging regulations and policies

Features

  • Daily coverage of critical threats to the energy industry across six core themes: country risk, energy transition and policy risk, Opec-plus risk and geopolitical and macro risk
  • Country Risk Index – our proprietary aboveground risk ranking tool, covering more than 60 countries ranked across 34 individual factors, provides the robust analytical framework underpinning our analysis in Quarterly Outlooks, Risk Reviews and topical memos
  • Transition Risk Index – Energy Intelligence’s proprietary benchmarking of countries’ resilience and adaptation to the energy transition
  • Macroeconomic Outlook – a twice-yearly report covering global economic conditions, outlook and risk implications for the energy industry
  • Opec-Plus Break-Evens Outlook – a twice-yearly report presenting our external economic break-evens model and providing an overview on producers’ fiscal break-evens, including analysis of fiscal policy options/signposts, internal Opec-plus dynamics and risk implications
  • Macroeconomic data – a twice-yearly report covering global economic conditions, outlook and risk implications for the energy industry
  • Opec-Plus Break-Evens data – a twice-yearly report presenting our external economic break-evens model and providing an overview on producers’ fiscal break-evens
  • Direct access to our risk analysts, editors and data team through one-to-one discussions, regular private briefings, monthly video on demand updates and bespoke quarterly executive briefings

The Energy Intelligence Difference

  1. Our proprietary Country Risk Index, which provides a robust framework for political risk management, alerts clients to asset and strategy vulnerabilities and changes in the market or political environment, over near- and longer-term investment periods
  2. Our 70+ years of reporting on energy geopolitics by tracking political changes in key producing countries and their impact on the energy business, enables us to bring clients the focused intelligence they need to adapt their strategies and mitigate operational risk
  3. Our actionable energy transition insights, benchmarked in our proprietary Transition Risk Index, analyze the impact of low-carbon policies on countries’ demand and overall resilience, giving clients the confidence they need to assess investment opportunities
  4. Our inside-track reporting of Opec-plus, by our award-winning journalists, ensures clients have the real view of decision-making dynamics and market implications

Download the Risk Overview >
Download the Risk Brochure >

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What's included in the Risk Service?
  • News
  • Analysis
  • Research
  • Data
  • Access to experts
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Latest Research
  • President Gustavo Petro’s reform agenda is faltering as legislative support erodes, leading him to try to bypass Congress, increasing political risks. Numerous factors, including policy and regulatory uncertainty and falling investor confidence, are weighing on Colombia’s economic outlook. Overall, Petro is having more success advancing his green energy agenda, including accelerated renewables deployment. Yet, other energy initiatives, namely the ban on new exploration licensing and fracking, are elevating energy security fears, particularly for natural gas. As a result, exploration at existing acreage, particularly offshore, will be critical, but hurdles remain to bringing finds on line. Ecopetrol is also adapting, increasing emphasis on low-carbon activities.
    Thu, Apr 25, 2024
Experts in Risk
With Energy Intelligence's 70+ year history of reporting on energy geopolitics, our experts are uniquely positioned to identify critical investment, energy transition and geopolitical risks facing the energy industry.
Editor, Energy Compass
Email Jill
Manager, Risk Research
Email Andrew
Senior Correspondent
Email Rafiq
Senior Research Analyst
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Eastern Hemisphere News Editor and Dubai Bureau Chief
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Moscow Bureau Chief
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Latest Podcasts
  • The Trump administration has increased the pressure on Iran, but that has raised the prospect of a war in the Mideast Gulf, the world’s most important oil producing region. But is Trump, who campaigned against US involvement in costly Mideast conflicts, really willing to go to war with Iran? Energy Intelligence’s top US foreign policy reporter breaks down the administration’s thinking.
    Thu, Jul 4, 2019
  • More than a year after US President Donald Trump withdrew from the multilateral Iran nuclear deal, the Opec member's oil exports have hit historic lows. Official crude sales have slumped below 200,000 barrels per day from above 2 million b/d in the first half of 2018, as the country's traditional customers have largely stopped lifting to abide with US sanctions, piling more pressure on Tehran at a time when tensions with Washington are escalating.
    Mon, Jul 1, 2019
  • How is the blockade against Qatar affecting the Mideast oil and gas industry? How might oil and gas trade be affected if the crisis escalates?What risks does the stand-off pose for foreign oil and gas investors in the region?What is the significance of Qatar’s new plans for expanding LNG export capacity?What are the wider geopolitical implications for neighboring countries like Iran and Turkey?
    Wed, Jul 19, 2017
Mideast Energy Supply: The Risks of Disruption